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The Latest Breaking News from Chatham House

Strait of Hormuz oil crisis: An opportunity for Syria?

In the show this week, we look at how Syria could benefit from the oil crisis triggered by tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. After Iran effectively closed the strategic waterway, Syria's Mediterranean port of Baniyas found itself emerging as a hub for crude oil transported overland from the UAE…

France 24

Iran and the US both think they are winning the war. The truth is they are both losing

The current ceasefire has held just enough to prevent a return to all-out war, but neither side is close to achieving peace, says Sanam Vakil, director of the Middle East and North Africa programme at Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Ben Gvir's flotilla video: Netanyahu has 'lost control of the government'

Italy and Spain are calling on the EU to sanction Israel's far-right national security minister, over his posting of a video showing detained Gaza-bound activists forced to their knees with their hands bound. The footage – which showed Itamar Ben-Gvir heckling activists while waving an Israeli flag – has prompted…

France 24

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Fallout from Iran war is ‘major new threat to foreign aid’

There are growing concerns that the economic fallout from the current conflict in the Middle East will push Gulf nations – who collectively provided more humanitarian aid than the US last year – turning away from foreign assistance

The Independent UK

The Iran crisis is far from over – instead we are entering a new and uncertain phase

The ceasefire is welcome but fragile. Friday’s talks in Islamabad must address Iran’s nuclear programme and avoid sidelining the rest of the region, says Sanam Vakil of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

The war in Iran is ripping up the Gulf’s plan for stability

As missiles fall from the sky and energy infrastructure is targeted, the limitations of relying on the US for protection are becoming all too obvious, says Sanam Vakil of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

As other Iran‑allied groups are engaging in the Mideast war, Yemen's Houthis hold back

Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels are staying on the sidelines as the Iran war expands

The Independent UK

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Iran may yet endure this war, but the Islamic Republic as we have known it cannot survive unchanged

The regime may now have to meet Trump’s demands merely to save itself. And he needs a coherent plan to deal with what he has unleashed, says Sanam Vakil of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

African Union summit opens, as continent faces conflict and climate extremes

The 2026 African Union Summit is being held this weekend in Addis Ababa, with Angola handing the rotating chair to Burundi. The bloc is facing challenges including mounting conflicts, insecurity in the Sahel, strained ties with Washington and internal strife, while this year’s summit theme of water highlights the damage…

Radio France Internationale

War, a Trump-imposed deal or internal regime collapse: for Tehran, none of the options are good

Iran’s leaders now face unprecedented peril. The regime has lost its footing, and the global mechanisms to avoid conflict no longer work, says Sanam Vakil of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Keir Starmer in Beijing as PM Seeks to Ease Strained Relations While Pushing for UK Trade Deals

Prime Minister Keir Starmer arrives in Beijing for the first UK visit in eight years, attempting to rebuild trade ties with China and unlock £billions in economic opportunities whilst navigating geopolitical tensions with the US and security concerns over espionage.

International Business Times UK

End of western alliance means UK must be bolder, says Chatham House director

Bronwen Maddox says Trump’s rejection of international law leaves UK and Europe facing huge dilemma

The Guardian - UK

With thousands dead, the Iranian regime may survive these protests – but not in its current form

With fear, surveillance and brute force only set to increase, there are disturbing parallels with Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, says Sanam Vakil of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Look behind the pomp of Putin’s New Delhi visit. The India-Russia relationship has weakened

Modi voiced words of respect, but he is resisting an anti-western, anti-Ukraine stance, despite the foreign policy contradictions, says Chietigj Bajpaee, a senior fellow at Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

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The Guardian - UK

Richard Gott obituary

Journalist, historian and author who served as a foreign correspondent and features editor of the Guardian

The Guardian - UK

This isn’t a real ceasefire in Gaza – it’s a holding pattern before war returns

Israel’s airstrikes have exposed the fragility of Trump’s ‘peace plan’. Without international support, it risks crumbling altogether, says Sanam Vakil of Chatham House

The Independent UK

Youth anger in Ivory Coast as the 83-year-old president seeks a fourth term

Another Africa election this weekend will showcase the tension between a longtime leader and frustrated youth

The Guardian - UK

Jack Spence obituary

Authority on politics in South Africa whose advice helped guide the country from apartheid to democracy

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The Independent UK

Poor climate crisis warnings put countries around globe at increasing risk of acute hunger

Exclusive: National early warning systems are expected to play an ever more important role as the climate crisis intensifies – but researchers at Chatham House warn there is a major blind spot around food supplies

The Guardian - UK

Israel has replaced Iran as the biggest security threat to the Gulf states

As the US waits on the sidelines, Israel’s actions – as evidenced by the attack on Doha – are becoming increasingly audacious, says Sanam Vakil, director of Chatham House’s Middle East and North Africa programme

Evening Standard

Israeli president offers ‘fact-finding mission’ after ‘tough’ talks at No 10

The meeting came after Israel carried out airstrikes against senior Hamas leaders who had travelled to Qatar for ceasefire talks.

Al Jazeera

UK urged to arrest Israeli President Isaac Herzog during London visit

Further protests are expected as Starmer is accused of rolling out the red carpet for a potential war criminal.

Al Jazeera

Will Iraq integrate the Popular Mobilization Forces into the state?

Iraq is debating a new draft law that would give the PMF militias formal standing in state institutions.

Evening Standard

Putin ‘rewarded’ for Ukraine invasion with Trump summit, experts warn

The summit was aimed at kickstarting a peace process to end the war in Ukraine.

Al Jazeera

Where is Liberia, whose president Trump praised for his ‘good English’?

Liberia was founded in 1822 as a colony for free Black Americans in West Africa as slavery ended.

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