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The Latest Breaking News from Torsten Slok

Thousands of CEOs just admitted AI had no impact on employment or productivity—and it has economists resurrecting a paradox from 40 years ago

In the 1980s, economist Robert Solow made an observation that reminded economists of today’s AI boom: “You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.”

Fortune

One of Stanford's original AI gurus says productivity liftoff has begun after doubling in 2025 amid transition to 'harvest phase' along J-curve

"We are transitioning from an era of AI experimentation to one of structural utility."

Fortune

AI is everywhere except in the data, suggesting it will enhance labor in some sectors rather than replace workers in all sectors, top economist says

"Maybe there is a J‑curve effect for AI, where it takes time for AI to show up in the macro data. Maybe not."

Fortune

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Microsoft AI chief gives it 18 months—for all white-collar work to be automated by AI

Mustafa Suleyman believes current AI computational power will only accelerate, disrupting every kind of work you do “sitting down at a computer.”

Fortune

Wall Street’s top analyst sees something weird going on with gold and interest rates, and warns inflation is rewriting market logic

“Investors are anxious about the level of returns they get in traditional assets,” Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok told Fortune.

Fortune

Why you shouldn’t worry about AI eating the stock market, top analyst says. The U.S. economy is ‘about to take off’

Software’s disruption by AI may be a problem for software stocks, but not for a booming economy, Apollo’s Torsten Slok argues.

Fortune

‘We’re not in a bubble yet’ because only 3 out of 4 conditions are met, top economist says. Cue the OpenAI IPO

Owen Lamont told Fortune about his “Four Horsemen” of the bubble apocalypse, and one hasn’t left the stable yet.

Fortune

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Trump's housing market plan contains a fatal flaw and multiple obstacles, Morgan Stanley says

"Affordability in U.S. housing is a tricky issue that lacks a silver bullet," the bank said. Trump's actions are only "modestly helpful" for affordability.

Fortune

Elon Musk says that in 10 to 20 years, work will be optional and money will be irrelevant thanks to AI and robotics

“It’ll be like playing sports or a video game or something like that,” the Tesla CEO said.

Fortune

As U.S. debt soars past $38 trillion, the flood of corporate bonds is a growing threat to the Treasury supply

"The significant increase in hyperscaler issuance raises questions about who will be the marginal buyer of IG paper."

Fortune

Wages are actually growing faster than inflation. Here’s why you don’t believe it

“I’m less convinced about this K-shaped recovery than other people are,” Harvard's Jason Furman says. But look at the bottom of the scale.

Fortune

Bank of America predicts an ‘air pocket,’ not an AI bubble, fueled by mountains of debt piling up from the data center rush

“Is this 2000? Are we in a bubble? No,” BofA’s strategy chief Savita Subramanian said. “Will AI continue in unfettered leadership? No.”

Fortune

‘Dr. Doom’ Nouriel Roubini breaks with the crowd on the AI bubble, saying the U.S. is headed for a ‘growth recession’ and not a market crash

“The now common view,” according to the NYU Stern School of Business professor emeritus, “is incorrect over the medium term.”

Fortune

Top analyst sees 'genuine cracks for mid- to lower-end consumers' as the K-shaped economy continues to bite

Mid- to lower-income households are struggling with an "affordability crisis," notes Lisa Shalett of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Credit stress is "flashing yellow."

Fortune

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Fortune

In just 15 years, the average U.S. homebuyer went from 39 to 59 years old: Top analyst reveals how the housing market has warped in one generation

The first-time homebuyer just hit 40 years old for the first time ever, but the average homebuyer is nearly a senior citizen.

Fortune

The K-shaped economy has come for your wages, as lower-income Americans sees their gains plummet to the weakest rate in a decade

A decade ago, low-income Americans saw the highest income growth, Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok said. Today, the opposite is true.

Fortune

Scott Galloway warns of ‘nowhere to hide’ in markets if the OpenAI story unravels

"If the music stops, there's not only not any chairs, there's like hot coals they're all going to sit on. It's going to be ugly."

Fortune

The S&P 500 is also in a K-shaped economy, says Apollo, with a widening gap between the winners and losers

Part of the growing divide between the rich and the average worker can also be traced back to where these households derive their wealth—namely, from their exposure to the booming stock market of 2025.

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International Business Times UK

Is China Trying to Kill the US Dollar? Experts Warn Its Massive Gold Buying Spree Is Working

Experts warn China's massive gold-buying spree is a strategic move to challenge the US dollar's global dominance. As gold prices pass $4,000, learn why economists see a 'significant shift' in world power.

Benzinga

China's Gold Binge May Eclipse US Dollar, Says Top Economist

China has emerged as a major force behind the recent surge in gold prices, with its growing influence projected to surpass even that of the U.S. dollar, according to a top economist.

Fortune

Top analyst says China is playing a ‘key role’ in the price of gold going through the roof, and he’s got the data to prove it

“Higher business uncertainty in the U.S. is also pushing gold prices up,” according to Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok.

Fortune

New China tariffs announced during government shutdown and AI valuation debate are a ‘perfect storm coming together,’ top economist says

Expect the new round of tariffs to spur inflation and put "downward pressure" on GDP, he added.

Benzinga

Trump's Controversial Tariffs Generate Nearly $350 Billion, Becoming 'Very Significant' US Revenue Source, Says Economist

The controversial tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump have turned into a major revenue stream for the U.S. government, amassing approximately $350 billion at an annualized pace.

Fortune

Trump's tariffs are bringing in a 'very significant' amount of revenue, top analyst says: Roughly $350 billion a year

Fortune's Shawn Tully and Steve "the money doctor" Hanke have argued that they bear a strong, uncanny resemblance to a tax western Europe has had for decades.

Fortune

Jerome Powell says the Gen Z hiring nightmare is real: 'Kids coming out of college...are having a hard time finding jobs’

"You've got a low firing, low hiring environment" in the economy right now. When asked if it's AI, Powell shrugged: "there may be something there."

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