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The Latest Breaking News from Robert Shiller

Could today’s AI-driven S&P 500 rally end like the 1929 crash or the dot-com bubble after CAPE hits 40? What the Shiller CAPE ratio signals amid rising Wall Street bubble fears

Stock Market CAPE Ratio hits 40, a rare level last seen before the 1929 crash and the 1999 dot-com bubble burst, raising fresh Wall Street valuation fears. The S&P 500 is trading at extreme overvaluation levels, driven by strong but expensive tech-led gains. Investors are watching stock market crash signals,…

The Economic Times

Michael Burry, Paul Tudor Jones, and a Nobel-winner all see the same thing: A stock market reckoning

Michael Burry, Paul Tudor Jones, and a Nobel-winner all see the same thing: A stock market reckoning

The last time Shiller's CAPE index soared to 40, the market took 12 years to recover.

‘We’re not in a bubble yet’ because only 3 out of 4 conditions are met, top economist says. Cue the OpenAI IPO

‘We’re not in a bubble yet’ because only 3 out of 4 conditions are met, top economist says. Cue the OpenAI IPO

Owen Lamont told Fortune about his “Four Horsemen” of the bubble apocalypse, and one hasn’t left the stable yet.

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In the AI economy, the ‘weirdness premium’ will set you apart. Lean into it, says expert on tech change economics

Brandeis economics professor Benjamin Shiller says the stranger you are, the more employable you’ll be. Just look at self-driving cars and kangaroos.

AI Bubble Talk Is Heating Up Again—Why You Should (Or Shouldn't) Watch This Key Indicator

AI-linked stocks are enduring their worst week since April's tariff-driven slump, with Wall Street's valuation obsession back in full force.

Magnificent Seven surpass EU GDP: Is this a tech bubble warning?

The combined market value of the US 'Magnificent Seven' tech giants has surpassed the EU’s GDP, raising concerns of a tech bubble. While valuations are high, comparisons to the dot-com era suggest this may be a structural shift.

The Last Time This Signal Flashed, Stocks Cratered—It's Back Now

It's the summer of 2000 and the Nasdaq 100 has just delivered a staggering 300% gain over three years, but a sudden spike in volatility during the spring signals that equity valuations are starting to descend from their stratospheric highs.

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Wall Street's Bubble Wrap: Shiller Screams, Buffett Hides, AI Drinks The Punch

Wall Street's Bubble Wrap: Shiller Screams, Buffett Hides, AI Drinks The Punch

Wall Street has a habit of partying hard right before the crash. Recent weeks felt like a 1990s déjà vu with indexes at record highs, valuations stretched beyond reason, and a handful of mega caps holding everything together. Investors talked about a "new era," but history's warning lights are flashing…

Noida’s fiction factory: When the supply of lies met the demand for drama

Noida’s fiction factory: When the supply of lies met the demand for drama

The Indian Navy didn’t attack Karachi, but your TV said it did — welcome to Noida’s finest fiction factory. In the great media bazaar, drama is demanded, lies are supplied and reality is politely ignored.

The US stock market does better under Democrat presidents than Republicans – here’s what the data shows

The US stock market does better under Democrat presidents than Republicans – here’s what the data shows

The US has been experiencing a long “bull” stock market, that is rapid growth in stock prices, although this week tech stocks tumbled over the future prospects for US-built AI.

The Conversation

Should investors worry the stock market is overvalued?

Should investors worry the stock market is overvalued?

The S&P 500 is currently pricier than before the Great Recession and “Black Tuesday” in 1929, according to Robert Shiller's famous metric.

Are the bears right about the outlook for the S&P 500?

Are the bears right about the outlook for the S&P 500?

The S&P 500's current multiple stands at 28.9. Except during the Great Financial Crisis when profits collapsed, that's the highest PE for any quarter since the tech bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s.

Top strategist sees ‘echoes of the 1987 crash’ in today’s stock market. ‘All you can do is brace yourself and hope for the best'

Top strategist sees ‘echoes of the 1987 crash’ in today’s stock market. ‘All you can do is brace yourself and hope for the best'

Société Générale’s Albert Edwards said that while some economists are expecting a soft landing his “view is that a recession still lurks.”

The S&P is heading below 3,000. Basic math (and a metric beloved by famed economist Robert Shiller) suggests it

The S&P is heading below 3,000. Basic math (and a metric beloved by famed economist Robert Shiller) suggests it

Stocks have suffered a rough September, with the S&P 500 dropping from 4,516 at the month's start to 4,275. Look out below?

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Robert Shiller predicted the 2008 bursting housing bubble. Here's his latest housing market call

Shiller: "It has been growing since 2012, it has been about 10 years of steady growth in home prices. But it may be coming to an end"

Now could be the worst time to buy Apple stock. Yes, really—just look at Robert Shiller’s famous CAPE metric

Apple now has a "Shiller" PE of 61. That's double the present elevated metric for U.S. big caps.

The Conversation

3 sales tactics rife in the real estate industry, and why they work

Buying a home is likely to be the biggest financial transaction you will ever make, and you’re at a distinct disadvantage. You’re an amateur up against professionals – real estate agents – versed in psychological tricks to get you excited about owning a property and paying more than you planned.

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