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The Latest Breaking News from John Curtice

Tactical voting in byelections spells bad news for Tories

There is no win for the government in Labour and the Lib Dems losing their deposits or the Greens’ sticky results

The Guardian - UK

Desperate Tories warn Sunak they are headed for disaster after ‘appalling’ by-elections: ‘The party’s over’

Conservatives are ‘going to lose a hell of a lot of seats’, admits one MP – despite Rishi Sunak’s claim that a Labour general election victory is ‘not a done deal’

The Independent UK

Tory chair leaves BBC studio in stitches with by-election claim

TORY chairman Greg Hands left the BBC’s Chris Mason and political analyst John Curtice in stitches as he claimed his party’s sole victory in…

The National (Scotland)

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Analysis: Thumping double blow to the Tories, even if Ulez proved toxic for Labour in Uxbridge

‘Taken in the round, these by-election results do suggest that the Conservatives remain in deep electoral trouble,’ Politics Professor Sir John Curtice

Evening Standard

Tories still in ‘deep electoral trouble’ despite Uxbridge win, says John Curtice

Rishi Sunak’s party has ‘awful long way to go’ to show they can cling onto power, says polling guru

The Independent UK

Friday briefing: An awful byelection night for Sunak – though the Tories avoid a wipeout

In today’s newsletter: a pair of major defeats for the Conservatives, but the PM will be relieved to have at least retained Boris Johnson’s old seat

The Guardian - UK

John Curtice: Depleting vote share shows SNP face General Election battle

DEPLETING support for the SNP in opinion polls is now being reflected in council by-elections, showing the party’s dominance at Westminster is…

The National (Scotland)

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Britain has changed hugely since 2016. This is how the Brexit vote would go now

The country’s view of the EU referendum could prove very relevant at the next election. Labour should take heed, says professor of politics John Curtice

The Guardian - UK

Police probe 'has not harmed SNP or independence', says John Curtice

THE ongoing police investigation into the SNP’s finances and a number of high-profile arrests appear to have barely dented support for the party…

The National (Scotland)

Labour and Lib Dem cooperation key to defeating Tories at by-elections, top polling guru says

Prof John Curtice says Tory candidates could cling on if parties insist on splitting vote

The Independent UK

Labour could face independence referendum choice as election majority 'not certain'

THE prospect of Labour securing an overall majority in the next General Election is “by no means certain”, leading pollster Sir John Curtice…

The National (Scotland)

Labour party ‘odds-on to form next Government’ as Tories face awkward by-elections

The Labour Party is odds-on to form the next Government, a polling guru said on Thursday.

Evening Standard

Sunak’s small boats drive won’t bring back Tory voters, says John Curtice

Focus on Channel migrants reminds voters of ‘dramatic failure’ of Brexit, says polling guru

The Independent UK

Labour on course for landslide election victory, megapoll suggests

Starmer’s party is 12% ahead of Sunak’s Tories, survey based on new constituency boundaries suggests

The Guardian - UK

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The Independent UK

Corbyn wins backing of local Labour Party members in general election headache for Starmer

Mr Corbyn’s statement sets the stage for a showdown between Labour and its former leader in his Islington North constituency next year

Wales Online

Expert forecasts General Election and it's not looking good for Rishi and Tories

But whether or not Labour wins an overall majority is likely to be decided north of the border

The Conversation

A painful picture for the Tories: forecasting the general election from the local results

Nils Bohr, the Nobel prize winning physicist, once said: “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Electoral forecasting, the science of predicting politics, is a case in point. It’s difficult to do and easy to get wrong.

The Independent UK

Labour majority on knife edge as Sunak comes under pressure

Polling expert John Curtice says results in group of key marginals would hand Keir Starmer a slim majority if replicated at election

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The Independent UK

Tories demand Rishi Sunak ‘deliver’ on pledges after ‘wake-up call’ local election results

Tories ‘not far off rock bottom’ of John Major’s support in the 1990s after local election losses

The Guardian - UK

The local picture is good for Keir Starmer – the national predictions look even better

Evidence of a tactical pincer movement to defeat the Tories shows how worried they should be about the general election, says former YouGov president Peter Kellner

The Guardian - UK

What do the Tories’ dismal local results mean for the general election? Our panel responds

The polls in England proved ‘disappointing’ for the Conservatives. Are gains by Labour, the Lib Dems and the Greens enough to guarantee a Tory loss at the next election?

Wales Online

Big blow for Tories and PM Rishi Sunak as Labour takes key councils in English local elections

Leading pollsters have predicted the Conservatives could lose around 1,000 seats as MPs admit the results are "terrible"

The Guardian - UK

Friday briefing: 7am snapshot of local election results so far

In today’s newsletter: So far, what looks like a very bad night for the Tories is only quite a good one for Labour

The National (Scotland)

Does Scotland support a monarchy or a republic? See the results in graphs

THE royal family and upcoming coronation have been dominating headlines in recent weeks, as King Charles’s special day grows nearer.

The Guardian - UK

Thursday briefing: How parties will fare at the local elections – and where they go from here

In today’s newsletter: Will the Tories tank? Will Labour really gain? Here’s a guide to make sense of the local elections, and what it means for the next general elections

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