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The Latest Breaking News from Bill Adams

3 warnings from analysts on the truth lurking beneath the 'barnburner' jobs report — and why America's AI hiring crisis is far from over

There's no doubt that 172,000 payrolls added in May blew past expectations. But you have to look closely at where they were added.

Fortune

Stocks Recover as Oil Retreats From $119: Stock Market Today

How high the price of crude oil rises and how long it stays there are critical questions for market participants and policymakers alike.

Kiplinger

Dow Hits a Record High After December Jobs Report: Stock Market Today

The S&P 500 also closed the week at its highest level on record, thanks to strong gains for Intel and Vistra.

Kiplinger

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Cooler Inflation Supports a Relief Rally: Stock Market Today

Investors, traders and speculators welcome much-better-than-hoped-for core CPI data on top of optimism-renewing AI earnings.

Kiplinger

The labor market's holiday present for America: the highest unemployment in 4 years. It might be 'noisy' but the jobs just aren't there

The November jobs report showed unemployment rose to a four-year-high.

Fortune

Top Economist Warns September Jobs Report Is Warning To 'Cut Back On The Economic Junk Food'

Despite a September jobs report that saw the U.S. economy add 119,000 positions—more than double the expectations of forecasters—top economist Justin Wolfers is urging caution, warning that rising unemployment signals it is time for the country to “cut back on the economic junk food.”

Benzinga

Powell Set For A 'Dovish Hold' In December, Economists Say After Jobs Data

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to keep interest rates steady at the final Federal Reserve meeting of the year, but economists say he could strike a more dovish tone as the labor market showed mixed signs.

Benzinga

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Stocks Rally as Investors Buy the Dip: Stock Market Today

Most sectors are "go" only a day after talk of bubbles, extended valuations and narrow breadth undermined any kind of exuberance.

Kiplinger

Fed Has Green Light To Cut Rates After Soft Inflation, Economists Say

A wide range of economists say the Federal Reserve now has the green light to cut interest rates, following a cooler-than-expected inflation report that suggests price pressures are easing — and that monetary policy can shift focus toward the softening labor market.

Benzinga

Shutdown Blurs Jobs Data—But These Reports Back Other Fed Cuts

With the U.S. government shutdown still clouding official labor statistics, alternative data from private firms and banks is sending a clear message: the labor market is cooling, and markets are betting big that the Federal Reserve will respond with another rate cut at its Oct. 30 meeting.

Benzinga

Shutdown Blocks Jobs Data: Will The Fed Cut Rates In The Dark?

Interpreting economic data is challenging on a good day—harder still when crucial reports go missing.

Benzinga

BLS Data Halts, But Chicago Fed Sees Steady 4.34% Unemployment: Private Sources Flag 'Low Fire, Low Hire' Holiday Risk

As the U.S. government shutdown suspends Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data releases, including the critical September jobs report scheduled for Friday, the Chicago Fed has stepped in with a final real-time forecast, predicting a steady unemployment rate of 4.34% for September 2025, based on 11 job market indicators.

Benzinga

Recession Odds 'Not At 0%,' Says Economist As Small And Medium Businesses Drive Job Losses In ADP Report Amid BLS Shutdown

A surprisingly weak private-sector ADP Employment report, released during an ongoing government shutdown, has intensified fears of a looming economic downturn.

Benzinga

The economy is just getting stronger, not weaker, and ‘we in the economics profession need to look ourselves in the mirror,’ top analyst says

“The consensus has been wrong since January,” Apollo Global Management chief economist Torsten Sløk wrote on Wednesday.

Fortune

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Benzinga

Fed Dot Plot Reveals Shallow Easing Path For 2026; Experts Say Don't Expect 'Many More Reductions' As Split Of Dots Is 'Something To Behold'

The Federal Reserve's latest economic projections reveal a surprisingly shallow path for interest rate cuts in 2026, signaling that the policy will remain restrictive as the central bank contends with a resilient economy and sticky inflation.

Benzinga

Fed Preview: A Rate Cut Is Baked In, Will Trump Get The 'Big Cut' He Wants

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates on Wednesday at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting for September.

Kiplinger

S&P 500 Hits New High After Oracle Earnings: Stock Market Today

Another down day for Apple held the Dow Jones Industrial Average back, though.

Benzinga

Million Missing Jobs Clearly Shows AI Is 'Automating Away Tech Jobs,' Amid 'Stagflation' Worries, Warn Economists

A preliminary revision from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has erased 911,000 previously reported U.S. jobs, sending shockwaves through economic circles and cementing expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week.

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Fortune

The U.S. economy actually grew by nearly a million fewer jobs than previously thought, and it shows 'AI is automating away tech jobs,' economist says

"The revision shows the economy entered 2025 with less momentum than previously understood,” said Bill Adams, Chief Economist at Comerica Bank.

Fortune

Americans haven’t been this pessimistic about finding a new job since a bleak stretch of the Great Recession

Pessimism is "most pronounced for those with at most a high school education," according to the New York Federal Reserve.

Kiplinger

July CPI Report Ignites a Risk-On Rally: Stock Market Today

Market participants price out worst-case scenarios for tariffs and inflation and will now turn their attention to employment and growth.

Fortune

Jerome Powell’s job just got a whole lot easier as inflation data sidesteps disaster

July inflation data suggests the FOMC’s dual mandate may not be in as much of a pickle as economists previously feared.

Benzinga

Economists Flip To Trump's Side After Jobs Data–And Jerome Powell Is Now In Trouble

Just two days after Fed Chair Jerome Powell refused to pre-commit to a September rate cut, the U.S. labor market did it for him.

Benzinga

'Delusional World:' Analyst Slams Jerome Powell's Inaction As Experts Debate Possibility Of Six Cuts Starting September

While the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady was widely anticipated, a rare dual dissent and nuanced language in the FOMC statement have left experts divided on whether Chair Jerome Powell will hold steady through 2025 or embark on aggressive rate cuts.

Fortune

A weak housing market could deliver rate cuts and rescue the Fed from Trump

Toward the end of the year, the housing market may become a bigger deal for inflation than tariffs - Comerica Bank chief economist Bill Adams said.

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