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The Latest Breaking News from an El Niño

Warm is the new norm for the Great Barrier Reef – and a likely El Niño raises red flags

The Bureau of Meteorology this week declared a 70% chance of an El Niño developing this year. This raises concern for the health of the Great Barrier Reef, which is under continuing threat from climate change.

The Conversation

What an El Niño could mean for food prices

What an El Niño could mean for food prices

It could lead to declines in American agricultural production, further spiking food costs nationwide.

How a potential 'extreme' El Niño climate pattern would affect Australia

How a potential 'extreme' El Niño climate pattern would affect Australia

There is concensus among international weather modelling that an El Niño will happen, but there is still no guarantee. So when will we know?

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Rapidly forming El Niño to boost global warming, lead to widespread extreme events

With an El Niño imminent, there is a high likelihood of a new record warmest year.

The next El Niño: when is it coming and how strong might this one be for Australia?

After three wet La Niña years, an El Niño now looks likely, which could cut rainfall, raise temperatures and create nightmarish bushfire conditions

The Guardian - AU

Could 2023 be a quieter hurricane season? Early forecasts hint at below-average year

MIAMI — After back-to-back years of grueling and devastating hurricane seasons, early forecasts suggest that 2023 may offer a bit of a break — at last.

El Niño forecasting a hard task during unpredictable autumn, climate scientists say

It looks like an El Niño may develop this winter or spring, but one unexpected weather system could stop it in its tracks.

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What to expect when you’re expecting an El Niño (the answer might surprise you)

What to expect when you’re expecting an El Niño (the answer might surprise you)

La Niña and El Niño are well-known terms in Australia these days. Linked to them are certain expectations: we expect wet conditions in La Niña and dry conditions in El Niño.

The Conversation

The flap of a butterfly's wings: why autumn is not a good time to predict if El Niño is coming

The flap of a butterfly's wings: why autumn is not a good time to predict if El Niño is coming

Remember the butterfly effect? It was a popular summary of chaos theory suggesting a butterfly flapping its wings in the Amazon could cause a tornado in Texas.

The Conversation

A planet-warming El Niño is on the horizon

A planet-warming El Niño is on the horizon

If an El Niño develops, an annual temperature record becomes likely soon after.

Four possible consequences of El Niño returning in 2023

Four possible consequences of El Niño returning in 2023

Every two to seven years, the equatorial Pacific Ocean gets up to 3°C warmer (what we know as an El Niño event) or colder (La Niña) than usual, triggering a cascade of effects felt around the world. This cycle is called the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) because every El…

The Conversation

After the flood: what an El Niño might mean for Australia’s ecosystems

After the flood: what an El Niño might mean for Australia’s ecosystems

Scientists are fearing the worst, predicting dangerous bushfire weather, fiercer heatwaves and severe coral bleaching across the Great Barrier Reef

The Guardian - AU

La Niña is rapidly easing, the BOM says. But the prospect of El Niño has some worried. So what's next?

La Niña is rapidly easing, the BOM says. But the prospect of El Niño has some worried. So what's next?

La Niña's three-year grip as the prevailing climate driver for Australia's east coast could finally be over. But the prospect of an El Niño has some worried. Here's what we know.

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Zeke Hausfather

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The Bureau of Meteorology

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